Cele mai pesimiste estimari arata ca scurgerea de petrol din Golful Mexic va continua pana in decembrie. In acelasi timp, simularile Centrului National pentru Cercetari Atmosferice (NCAR) arata ca mareea neagra ar putea ajunge in Oceanul Atlantic.
In cazul in care sonda de petrol nu este inchisa pana la vara, pata va ajunge pe coasta Floridei, de-a lungul Coastei de Est, pe langa Carolina de Nord si pana in mijlocul Oceanului Atlantic.
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